Thursday, October 22, 2020

Anyone Paying Attention?

Tomorrow in lovely DuPage County, Illinois, the governor of our state has decided to increase restrictions due to the positivity-rate associated with COVID testing. So, like any reasonable citizen, I went to look at the numbers myself.

As of today, DuPage County has had 600 confirmed COVID deaths. 600 out of 1,000,000 doesn't seem like a lot, but I then I thought, why stop there? Why not look and see when DuPage County passed 500 deaths. Is this thing getting worse or better? So I looked and it was easy information to find - DuPage County passed the 500-deaths mark on June 26th. Today is October 22nd,...so it took nearly 4 months, in a county of 1,000,000 people for 100 people to die of COVID...but we are increasing restrictions because of a rising positivity rate??

Is anyone paying attention? Pardon my language, but what in the hell is going on here? I wish that DuPage County published its cases and deaths information for every other common disease like it is posting its numbers on COVID. I truly believe we would see that more than 100 people in the County have died from at least 2-3 other things over that same period of time.

I'm trying so hard to not let this get to me, but at this point, I'm am extremely frustrated by the state government dictating to all of us citizens how we should live our lives in light of what is actually happening. We (and I mean, most of us) don't need or want the state's help in navigating this anymore. I don't trust their motives, I don't trust their ability to decide what is best for anyone and I am increasingly skeptical that they will willingly give up the power they have decided to take. Per the Circuit Court of Illinois, the Governor's executive orders no longer hold any power and haven't now for months. The state vowed to appeal that ruling, but that decision remains in effect until and unless they actually win an appeal. Its time for businesses (and churches!) to start standing up for themselves and making their own decisions. Given the data that is available on this - you don't need a medical degree or epidemiology background to know that this is not some existential threat to life.

100 out of 1,000,000, in 4 months! Wake up!

Tuesday, October 13, 2020

Thoughts on Milk and Solid Food

"Concerning him [Jesus] we have much to say, and it is hard to explain, since you have become dull and negligent. For though by this time you ought to be teachers, you have need again for someone to teach you the elementary principles of the Oracles of God, and you have come to need milk and not solid food. For everyone who partakes only of milk is not accustomed to the word of righteousness, for he is an infant. But solid food is for the mature, who because of practice have their senses trained to discern good and evil." (Hebrews 5:11-14, NASB)

I have read these verses many times, but they came around again this week in a Bible study I'm in. First, I want to look at what the passage says, both contextually and specifically and then talk about what can be learned.

I think it's good to start out by sharing what follows this in Hebrews 6 (Blessed Hope Translation):

"That is why, progressing beyond the elementary teachings about Messiah, we must move on to maturity, not having to go back and re-lay the foundation: Repentance from acts that lead to death and faith in God, instruction about baptisms and commissioning through the laying on of hands, and about the resurrection of the dead and the judgment of the coming age." (Hebrews 6:1-3)

The reason I start here is because the obvious question after reading Hebrews 5 is 'what are the oracles of God' or 'what is the milk'? The writer of Hebrews helps explain that in Chapter 6; the milk, or foundations of the faith - repentance, baptism, going/sending (Holy Spirit?), the coming judgement, and the hope of resurrection and eternal life. In other words, these are the basics - understanding these things is crucial to a well-grounded faith, and understanding of these things is key to helping one move towards maturity. The 'oracles' were commonly understood to be the words of God, or the law (Torah) and the promises of God (the Covenants, God's word spoken through the Prophets).

The broader context is a discussion of Jesus as the High Priest - or the Mother of All Priests (MOAP?). It is a thick discussion, as is most of Hebrews, outlining who Jesus is and how He fits into the broader narrative of Scripture.

One comment I find very interesting in Hebrews 5:12 is: "For though by this time you ought to be teachers..." Considering that the audience of Hebrews is likely Jewish believers, this statement is even more interesting to me. This motif is indirectly continued a few verses later when it says, "but solid food is for the mature, who because of practice have their senses trained..." (v.14). To me the writer seems to allude here to a lack of practice and discipline which led to a need to revisit basics..."since you have become so dull and negligent" (v.11). This might seem like a stretch, but I feel that this statement is connected to Israel's unique calling from God, to be a 'light to the nations' (Isa 42:6, Isa 49:6, Acts 13:47). How can someone be a light if they do not understand even the basics...using the language of the text, how can someone teach what they do not themselves understand?

Admonition

I feel like there is an easy point of application here for the modern believer. How can you be an effective disciple of Jesus without regularly spending time in the Word, whether simply by reading or by serious study? Furthermore, how will you be able to explain your faith, or teach someone else if you yourself don't understand? I say these things rhetorically because I have very much been the person who didn't read up until a year ago or so. I loved studying (occasionally) and I loved finding something new, but I didn't read with any regularity and thus, I had only a shallow understanding. I would have been hard-pressed to give someone else much detail in terms of what I believed, outside of vague references to things that are mentioned in the Bible. By saying this, I don't mean to beat people with the stick of 'woulda, coulda, shoulda'. That's not it - but on the other hand - active faith involves responsibility. Our trajectory of growth isn't going to be perfect, but it should still resemble a trajectory of growth, right? If we have a consistent problem with mustering either the time or the commitment to sit and read and study Scripture, then it is possible that something might need to change to fix that problem.

Ultimately it comes down, again, to the calling of God. In this case, it is the calling Jesus gives to those who would follow him - a command to 'make fishers of men' and to go and 'make disciples of all nations'. Discipling others will require teaching them, about who God is, about what He has done, about what He is doing now and about what He will do in the future. If we don't understand the milk of our faith and some of the structure that supports it, how effective will we be at sharing it with others? For that matter, how effective will faith be in our lives when things get difficult or uncomfortable?

Encouragement

The encouragement here is that neither God, not the writer of Hebrews, will give up on us. He says, "ok, if we have to keep re-laying the foundation, then we will, so that you will grow up to maturity in faith" (AK paraphrase). I love this section at the end of Chapter 6:

"Yet we are confident in regard to you, dear friends, of the better course belonging to salvation, even though we speak like this. God is not, after all, unjust ; he will not forget your hard work and the love you have shown for the honor of his name in having served the saints and in continuing to serve them. Yet we earnestly desire each of you to keep on showing the very same goodwill and concern, aiming to retain full conviction about the reliability of our hope all the way to the finish, so that instead of being so dull and negligent, you may follow the example of those who inherit the promises through faith and patient endurance." (Hebrews 6:9-12, BHT, emphasis added)

 

Thursday, October 8, 2020

The Case Against Case Reporting

Just thought of this; if we didn't know the information on new cases of COVID-19, given the relatively low amount of deaths occurring now, would we feel a lot better about returning to normal? Here's my point - we don't keep a running ticker going, and then blared on the nightly news and front-page of every news website, of daily increases and decreases in the number of people who have cases of the flu, pneumonia, hepatitis, respiratory infections, etc - illnesses that are potential deadly for the same demographic of people that are vulnerable to COVID and which run their normal course through society every year. If we did, likely we all would have been masking up a long time ago out of fear. My argument is the only reason anyone feels fear about COVID right now is because of our myopic focus on it. If you look at almost any chart, either by state, or nationally, the number of people being hospitalized and/or dying from COVID have flattened out completely. Cases may still be spiking here and there and declining in other places, but the numbers of people being hospitalized or dying from it have leveled off completely. So again I ask, if we didn't know - would we care?

The last statistic I saw on colleges was that over 70,000 college students nationwide had tested positive for COVID but only 3 had been hospitalized. We have yet to see a single active professional athlete even have to be hospitalized for symptoms related to COVID-19...and yet they are cancelling and moving games because of this? Cam Newton had an asymptomatic case (by all accounts) of COVID and was forced to sit out of a game, maybe two. What for? So that his other teammates might not come down with what amounts to, at best, nothing and, at worst, an illness that resembles the flu in terms of severity for otherwise healthy people? Does anyone else feel like they are taking crazy pills?

Let's take the recent examples in the NFL. If the NFL did not tell the public that players and team personnel had tested positive COVID cases, we would literally not be able to tell the difference. Maybe a couple (?) of players might have missed one game due to sickness, but then would have been right back out there the next game. Cam Newton would be no worse for the wear at all, since his case was asymptomatic. Do you see what I'm getting at? Because we know about it - it's a thing...but that's literally the only reason. 42 people in the entire state of Illinois died yesterday, allegedly(*) of COVID. The state population of Illinois is almost 13 million. California has a population of almost 40 million people and on October 6th, 51 people in the entire state died of COVID. 42 and 51 aren't nothing and undoubtedly the families of those 93 people are mourning the loss of their loved ones, but the last time I checked, PUBLIC policy is about what is beneficial for the greatest amount of people. I don't have the numbers because we don't track them, but I would wager there are several other common illnesses that killed more than 93 people between Illinois and California in the last day or two. As I've stated many times here, 2.8 million people die every year in the US, which averages out to about 7,700 PER DAY. Every. Single. Day.

Let's stop this madness and stop allowing our government officials to decide for everyone what they think is best. They work for us and this country was founded on the basis of individual freedom. If you want to wear a mask, wear a mask. If you want to stay home, stay home. But the choice...the choice should be ours.

Tuesday, October 6, 2020

The Great Barrington Declaration

Let's stop the government overreach madness associated with COVID-19. The media makes it sound as if scientists and 'science' are unanimous in their opinion that COVID-19 is a threat that merits lock-downs, social restrictions and mask-wearing and reality could not be farther from the truth. Recently (Oct. 1-4, 2020), a meeting was hosted that brought together some of the top epidemiologists, economists, and journalists to discuss the impacts of lockdowns and social restrictions and also to present on the actual data we have gathered about COVID-19 and its threats to human life. Below is the incredible list of people who have authored and co-signed on what is now called, "The Great Barrington Declaration". You can read it's contents for yourself here. Don't tell me scientists and science are unanimous here because these highly respected people, who are all willing to put their hard-fought reputations on the line, are willing to publicly state their disagreement with the mainstream COVID-19 narrative.

The primary authors and signers of the document are 

  • Dr. Martin Kulldorff, Professor, Medicine, Harvard Medical School.
  • Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, Professor,  Medicine, Stanford University.
  • Dr. Sunetra Gupta, Professor, Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Oxford.

The co-signers include 

  • Dr. Rodney Sturdivant, PhD. associate professor of biostatistics at Baylor University and the Director of the Baylor Statistical Consulting Center. He is a Colonel in the US Army (retired) whose research includes a focus on infectious disease spread and diagnosis.
  • Dr. Eitan Friedman, MD, PhD. Founder and Director, The Susanne Levy Gertner Oncogenetics Unit, The Danek Gertner Institute of Human Genetics, Chaim Sheba Medical Center and Professor of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine and Depertment of Human Genetics and Biochemistry, Tel-Aviv University
  • Dr. Rajiv Bhatia, MD, MPH a physician with the VA health system with expertise in epidemiology, health equity practice, and health impact assessment of public policy. He formerly served as a Deputy Health Officer for San Francisco for 18 years.
  • Dr. Michael Levitt, PhD is a biophysicist and a professor of structural biology at Stanford University. Prof. Levitt received the 2013 Nobel Prize in Chemistry for the development of multiscale models for complex chemical systems.
  • Dr. Eyal Shahar, MD professor (emeritus) of public health at the University of Arizona, a physician, epidemiologist, with expertise in causal and statistical inference.
  • Dr. David Katz, MD, MPH, President, True Health Initiative and the Founder and Former Director of the Yale University Prevention Research Center
  • Dr. Laura Lazzeroni, PhD., professor of psychiatry and behavioral sciences and of biomedical data science at Stanford University Medical School, a biostatistician and data scientist
  • Dr. Simon Thornley, PhD is an epidemiologist at the University of Auckland, New Zealand. He has experience in biostatistics and epidemiological analysis, and has applied these to a range of areas including communicable and non-communicable diseases.
  • Dr. Michael Jackson, PhD is an ecologist and research fellow at the University of Canterbury, New Zealand.
  • Dr. Jonas Ludvigsson, pediatrician, epidemiologist and professor at Karolinska Institute and senior physician at Örebro University Hospital, Sweden.
  • Dr. Sylvia Fogel, autism expert and psychiatrist at Massachusetts General Hospital and instructor at Harvard Medical School, USA.
  • Dr. Andrius Kavaliunas, epidemiologist and assistant professor at Karolinska Institute, Sweden
  • Prof. Udi Qimron, Chair, Department of Clinical Microbiology and Immunology, Tel Aviv University
  • Prof. Ariel Munitz, Department of Clinical Microbiology and Immunology, Tel Aviv University
  • Prof. Motti Gerlic, Department of Clinical Microbiology and Immunology, Tel Aviv University
  • Dr. Uri Gavish, an expert in algorithm analysis and a biomedical consultant
  • Prof. Ellen Townsend, Self-Harm Research Group, University of Nottingham, UK.
  • Dr. Paul McKeigue, professor of epidemiology in the University of Edinburgh and public health physician, with expertise in statistical modelling of disease.
  • Dr. Mario Recker, Associate Professor in Applied Mathematics at the Centre for Mathematics and the Environment, University of Exeter.
  • Prof. Mike Hulme, professor of human geography, University of Cambridge
  • Prof. Stephen Bremner, Professor of Medical Statistics, Brighton and Sussex Medical School, University of Sussex
  • Prof. Matthew Ratcliffe, Professor of Philosophy specializing in philosophy of mental health, University of York, UK
  • Prof. Lisa White, Professor of Modelling and Epidemiology Nuffield Department of Medicine, Oxford University, UK
  • Prof. Angus Dalgleish, MD, FRCP, FRACP, FRCPath, FMedSci, Department of Oncology, St. George’s, University of London
  • Dr. Cody Meissner, professor of pediatrics at Tufts University School of Medicine, an expert on vaccine development, efficacy and safety.
  • Dr. Helen Colhoun, professor of medical informatics and epidemiology in the University of Edinburgh and public health physician, with expertise in risk prediction.
  • Prof. Partha P. Majumder, PhD, FNA, FASc, FNASc, FTWAS National Science Chair, Distinguished Professor and Founder National Institute of Biomedical Genomics, KalyaniEmeritus Professor Indian Statistical Institute, Kolkata
  • Dr. Gabriela Gomes, professor at the University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, a mathematician focussing on population dynamics, evolutionary theory and infectious disease epidemiology.
  • Prof. Anthony J Brookes, Department of Genetics & Genome Biology, University of Leicester, UK
  • Prof. Simon Wood, professor at Edinburgh University, a statistician with expertise in statistical methodology, applied statistics and mathematical modelling in biology
  • Prof. David Livermore, Professor at University of East Anglia, a microbiologist with expertise in disease epidemiology, antibiotic resistance and rapid diagnostics
  • Prof. Sucharit Bhakdi, em. Professor of Medical Microbiology, University of Mainz, Germany
  • Prof. Yaz Gulnur Muradoglu, Professor of Finance, Director at Behavioural Finance Working Group, School of Business and Management, Queen Mary University of London
  • Prof. Karol Sikora MA, PhD, MBBChir, FRCP, FRCR, FFPM, Medical Director of Rutherford Health, Oncologist, & Dean of Medicine

Friday, October 2, 2020

Turn Your Hearts to Jesus

This was from Jim Daly's blog (Focus on the Family) which, despite being regularly delivered to my email, I almost never read. What caught my eye this time was the subject line which read, "The Presidential Election of 2020: Stop the Blame Game". So I read it - I thought it was good enough to share. Bottom-line, the government of the United States was never intended to be the hope of the people. The US Constitution and Bill of Rights lay down the foundation but never suppose that life, liberty and happiness will come from the government...rather, they promise that life, the right to liberty (freedom) and one's ability to pursue happiness will be defended by the government. We would do well, as a nation, to remember this. The government is not responsible for everything that happens in this country and to make it seem that way is to put the government on a pedestal that it was never meant or intended to be on. No amount of government oversight, regulation, control or programming will stop people from dying, stop disasters from happening, or solve the cultural issues we face. We need God - and we need the love of Jesus and his Holy Spirit inside of us. That is our only true hope.

"If you tuned into last night’s debate or have spent any amount of time following this year’s race, you know blame is now the name of the game in the 2020 presidential election.

Every affliction must be assigned a villain. 

It wasn’t always so. Let me describe a true-life scene for you:

Record deaths from the virus were mounting, taxing hospitals beyond their capacity. On one day alone, over 60 desperate calls for medical help in New York City go unaided.

Meanwhile, a blizzard in North Dakota killed 34 people and a deadly tornado outbreak was sweeping through the South, killing dozens in its path. On Palm Sunday, twisters claimed the lives of 380 people throughout the Midwest and South. Days later, seven violent F-4 tornadoes devastate Mississippi, Alabama and Tennessee.

Compounding the gathering woes was a deadly, category 2 hurricane in Louisiana, swamping low-lying properties and washing out roads and railroad tracks.

There was more.

In a single day, 5 wildfires ravage the dried-out Adirondacks.

In Chicago and Independence, Kansas, race riots with police rage, while another wicked feud is averted in Arkansas.

Our current life in 2020, the apocalyptic consequences of gross presidential mismanagement and/or the reckless ignoring of cataclysmic climate change?

Not quite.

Rather, a snapshot of President Woodrow Wilson’s America one-hundred years ago in 1920, just as the death toll for the Spanish flu pandemic approached 675,000 in the United States and 5 million across the globe.

By 1920, Wilson was in his second term, hampered by a stroke suffered a year earlier, but still riding high from being awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for helping negotiate the peace treaty to end World War I.

Yet, despite the escalating death toll attributable to the influenza, Wilson made no public statements about it throughout the multiple-year pandemic.

No daily press briefings. No big speeches.

Not a single word.

Why?

Historians have long suggested Wilson was singularly focused on World War I, but by the end of 1920, hostilities in Europe had been over for two years.

I suspect he didn’t say anything about it because nobody was blaming him for it.

Once upon a time, Americans didn’t expect their president or their government to solve every problem. They understood that some things were outside not only a politician’s control, but also mankind’s.

They recognized that government can try to minimize and mitigate catastrophes, but in an open society, bad things happen. It’s inevitable. It’s the story of humanity.

It’s a doctor’s job to alleviate suffering, but it’s God’s to cure.

In other words, men and women can help – but only God can heal. As government takes a more active role in people’s lives, that’s become something of a foreign concept.

In fact, many now rely on government far more than God.

Tragically, tens of millions of deaths have been attributable to disease and natural disasters over the centuries. Perhaps some plagues and pandemics could have been avoided or reduced if people knew then what we know now – but hindsight is always 20/20.

Countless natural disasters struck the world long before the proliferation of fossil fuels and charges of carbon and ozone pollution. From floods to fires, catastrophes preceded cars and factory chimneys.

Despite presiding as president in the midst of the explosion of a global pandemic, Democrat Woodrow Wilson was lionized, with The New York Times lauding him for his “unflagging zeal and devotion.”

As a Christian, I try to look inward before casting stones outward. I also recognize there are so many difficult things happening in this world that are outside of my control, like disease and natural disasters. Why God allows suffering like COVID-19 is the type of question people have been asking for ages, but I do know He uses everything to accomplish His purposes.

“The problem with the world is it blames problems on things besides sin and identifies salvation on things outside God,” says my friend, pastor Dr. Tim Keller.

I’m not going to hold my breath waiting for sin to catch the blame for our current challenges – but in the “blame game,” that’s the hands-down winner."


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